Great video on Jones! Stronger ILB play plus a healthy/reinforced DL, and maybe Riq back will give the Seahawks a fighting chance vs Allen and the Bills.
If you have specific examples of what you hate, or what stats need better explanation, I'm not opposed to addressing that in the future again. I'm using the NFL's own products for stats by Next Gen Stats, not PFF grades.
On the one hand, it is not reasonable to expect you to review 100% of the comments on your side-gig. I have no such expectation.
On the other hand, I have not been shy in presenting my opinion on this subject, several times in considerable detail. It seems equally not reasonable that I should go through 18 months of comments & summarize them for you. It would end up looking like a tutorial, which was never my intent. It would just be disruptive. I really hate being disruptive, which is why I've laid off for weeks at a time on several occasions.
Statistics can be convoluted, and the statistics generated by (and in comparison to) "fitted" correlation models are even more so. They are often published by people who have a "conflict of interest": whether directly or indirectly, they make their coin by giving you "advanced" statistical products while they obfuscate the bejeebers out of how they got their answer. If you're sure you understand how the raw data are collected, and how the equations work, then you know how to interpret the data. Otherwise...maybe not so much.
The very best guidance I have to give is that which I've written into comments at least twice: Huff, Darrell - "How to Lie with Statistics" (1954). Still available in print and electronically.
Jones sure looks good in those clips. He reminds me of a younger Bobby Wagner in that he doesn’t fly 100 mph from the snap. He checks the blocking angles and keeps his eyes in the backfield. I remember Wagner once saying in an interview that you have to be patiently violent to be a successful middle linebacker. Jones looks to fit that description.
Two questions I’m wondering about after the Jones deal: (1) is it easy for a guy to step into MM’s defense and understand all the sets and switches (especially an ILB), or is there some way they just keep it simple for Jones while everyone else plays thru the usual disguises? (2) how much were JS/MM scouting at the joint practice with the Titans?
I have read that Dodson will still be the one calling out the alignments and likely help him quite a bit. It will really help Jones that he played the Bills just last week—he will know them well.
Your question #2 was mine too -- seems like they've been keeping tabs on him for awhile now. First as a member of the Rams, then he plays for one of MacDonald's cohorts, then they see him in joint Titans practices (along with Simmons who must've had them dreaming...). Hope we're not overblowing this one, but a Roquan-type (more than a Queen-type) LB seems so central to how they want to play defense...really excited to see him
Acutually he pretty much already knows the defensive scheme. From the Titans homepage, "Prior to joining the Titans, Wilson spent the 2023 campaign as the defensive backs coach with the Baltimore Ravens, working with head coach John Harbaugh and defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald." Other than some minor terminology Tenn is using a very similar scheme. He also just played against the Bills last week and had a pretty good game. That John Schneider is sneaky smart.
The Bills will expect MM having him focused on the Run, but then MM likes to shift his guys away from their expected roles and into Coverage. That will take communication/coordination. Maybe we play to his strength and keep it simple: the guy can be a shut-down player with the Run? It's a great problem to have, giving the Bills fits right now.
Not just Titans. Hawks are always watching other players. Maybe not for trades in season but for next summer. Probably helps there is a coaching mentorship type angle between Hawks and Tennessee just like GM connections with Seattle and Carolina and GB.
This is Schneider and his staff’s special skill, I think. Uses many tools to strengthen the roster. The draft is still a crapshoot for him, but at least he has started using his top picks instead of trading down.
I remember a time back in the ‘teens when we reportedly had over 50% UDFAs on the roster. And we were a playoff team. Still tough to find true impact players in the secondary market, but it does happen (think Michael Bennett). You don’t have to hit on too many to build a solid core.
I believe that is reposts the article under your name in the feed for anyone who follows you. Idk if it reposts it for the general public. I have seen a few guys' restacks in my feed from other topics, and also SSJ articles also, but I can't really see a pattern.
I LOVE this trade! I commented on the 27yd run that Baker attacked thr same hole as Dodson on earlier this week. That play is almost identical to the plays MattyDubs showed in his video breakdowns. Jones was playing those holes exactly the opposite of Baker. He is reading and reacting, while Baker was guessing and attacking. It was really exciting to see the contrast in their playing styles, especially knowing that Jones has the preferrable style every time.
That patience and reading style will also help him to not get out of position as badly vs play-action and pass drops. I also noticed Jones disguises his blitzes very well, something MikeMac probably values. LFG!
This play made me want to move on from Baker. Maybe he's not the one who effed up here but he's so busy trying to fill a gap already occupied by Jarran Reed he doesn't even see the ball carrier coming at him through an open gap. Just no awareness of what was going on.
Yeah, ok. I guess i'm on board with being glad the vikings lost.
Whoo. Hoo.
That does not change my FTR position! If the 49ers had a good acronym or abbreviation for my feelings for them, then I would probably use it a lot more than "FTR"... FT9ers? FT9rs? How about 49🖕rs? Still isn't as easy as "FTR". Let me know if y'all have one. Until then...
Before the game I thought, "I don't really care who wins." When Darnold got face-mask-sacked for a safety I thought, "maybe it's better this way and I should be happy the Rams will win." Then immediately after that thought I thought, "FTR!"
That Win took help from officiating to get them passed their first 3-and-out. (Holding, my ass) The next two actually had something to base it on, but if the intent was to 'let them play', LA wouldn't have had their first TD. In my world, officials are there to control the temper and tone of the Games. Short of flagrant fouls affecting outcomes, let them play. The tempo of our games are interrupted enough, as it stands. Once was, you could win by exhausting your opponent.
Great video on Jones! Stronger ILB play plus a healthy/reinforced DL, and maybe Riq back will give the Seahawks a fighting chance vs Allen and the Bills.
Hemmingway wrote 'we grow stronger at our broken places'. Let's trust that holds true. It's now a 10 game season.
I'm probably more excited about Jones now than I should be. But let's roll with it!
Recent articles leaning on poorly-conceived and even less-well-understood statistics have left me with much sand betwixt my toes.
But I'm in the boat with you on this one, bubba. Gybe ho!
If you have specific examples of what you hate, or what stats need better explanation, I'm not opposed to addressing that in the future again. I'm using the NFL's own products for stats by Next Gen Stats, not PFF grades.
On the one hand, it is not reasonable to expect you to review 100% of the comments on your side-gig. I have no such expectation.
On the other hand, I have not been shy in presenting my opinion on this subject, several times in considerable detail. It seems equally not reasonable that I should go through 18 months of comments & summarize them for you. It would end up looking like a tutorial, which was never my intent. It would just be disruptive. I really hate being disruptive, which is why I've laid off for weeks at a time on several occasions.
Statistics can be convoluted, and the statistics generated by (and in comparison to) "fitted" correlation models are even more so. They are often published by people who have a "conflict of interest": whether directly or indirectly, they make their coin by giving you "advanced" statistical products while they obfuscate the bejeebers out of how they got their answer. If you're sure you understand how the raw data are collected, and how the equations work, then you know how to interpret the data. Otherwise...maybe not so much.
The very best guidance I have to give is that which I've written into comments at least twice: Huff, Darrell - "How to Lie with Statistics" (1954). Still available in print and electronically.
💯
The other problem. We have seen first hand twice now the benefits of playing the Sunday after Thursday Night Football.
First it was the Giants taking it to the Hawks
Then it was the Hawks squashing the Falcons.
The Rams game will be very tough. Need to get the Win this weekend vs the Bills which I think is in our sights with the D-line / front coming together
Jones sure looks good in those clips. He reminds me of a younger Bobby Wagner in that he doesn’t fly 100 mph from the snap. He checks the blocking angles and keeps his eyes in the backfield. I remember Wagner once saying in an interview that you have to be patiently violent to be a successful middle linebacker. Jones looks to fit that description.
Two questions I’m wondering about after the Jones deal: (1) is it easy for a guy to step into MM’s defense and understand all the sets and switches (especially an ILB), or is there some way they just keep it simple for Jones while everyone else plays thru the usual disguises? (2) how much were JS/MM scouting at the joint practice with the Titans?
I have read that Dodson will still be the one calling out the alignments and likely help him quite a bit. It will really help Jones that he played the Bills just last week—he will know them well.
Your question #2 was mine too -- seems like they've been keeping tabs on him for awhile now. First as a member of the Rams, then he plays for one of MacDonald's cohorts, then they see him in joint Titans practices (along with Simmons who must've had them dreaming...). Hope we're not overblowing this one, but a Roquan-type (more than a Queen-type) LB seems so central to how they want to play defense...really excited to see him
Acutually he pretty much already knows the defensive scheme. From the Titans homepage, "Prior to joining the Titans, Wilson spent the 2023 campaign as the defensive backs coach with the Baltimore Ravens, working with head coach John Harbaugh and defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald." Other than some minor terminology Tenn is using a very similar scheme. He also just played against the Bills last week and had a pretty good game. That John Schneider is sneaky smart.
I hadn’t heard that - explains a lot! Looks like he can hit the ground running.
The Bills will expect MM having him focused on the Run, but then MM likes to shift his guys away from their expected roles and into Coverage. That will take communication/coordination. Maybe we play to his strength and keep it simple: the guy can be a shut-down player with the Run? It's a great problem to have, giving the Bills fits right now.
Not just Titans. Hawks are always watching other players. Maybe not for trades in season but for next summer. Probably helps there is a coaching mentorship type angle between Hawks and Tennessee just like GM connections with Seattle and Carolina and GB.
This is Schneider and his staff’s special skill, I think. Uses many tools to strengthen the roster. The draft is still a crapshoot for him, but at least he has started using his top picks instead of trading down.
I remember a time back in the ‘teens when we reportedly had over 50% UDFAs on the roster. And we were a playoff team. Still tough to find true impact players in the secondary market, but it does happen (think Michael Bennett). You don’t have to hit on too many to build a solid core.
A non-football question, if you'll allow me. What is a "Restack"? What happens if I click the Restack icon?
I believe that is reposts the article under your name in the feed for anyone who follows you. Idk if it reposts it for the general public. I have seen a few guys' restacks in my feed from other topics, and also SSJ articles also, but I can't really see a pattern.
I LOVE this trade! I commented on the 27yd run that Baker attacked thr same hole as Dodson on earlier this week. That play is almost identical to the plays MattyDubs showed in his video breakdowns. Jones was playing those holes exactly the opposite of Baker. He is reading and reacting, while Baker was guessing and attacking. It was really exciting to see the contrast in their playing styles, especially knowing that Jones has the preferrable style every time.
That patience and reading style will also help him to not get out of position as badly vs play-action and pass drops. I also noticed Jones disguises his blitzes very well, something MikeMac probably values. LFG!
This play made me want to move on from Baker. Maybe he's not the one who effed up here but he's so busy trying to fill a gap already occupied by Jarran Reed he doesn't even see the ball carrier coming at him through an open gap. Just no awareness of what was going on.
https://x.com/cmikesspinmove/status/1847497937145995511
Yeah, ok. I guess i'm on board with being glad the vikings lost.
Whoo. Hoo.
That does not change my FTR position! If the 49ers had a good acronym or abbreviation for my feelings for them, then I would probably use it a lot more than "FTR"... FT9ers? FT9rs? How about 49🖕rs? Still isn't as easy as "FTR". Let me know if y'all have one. Until then...
FTR!
Before the game I thought, "I don't really care who wins." When Darnold got face-mask-sacked for a safety I thought, "maybe it's better this way and I should be happy the Rams will win." Then immediately after that thought I thought, "FTR!"
That Win took help from officiating to get them passed their first 3-and-out. (Holding, my ass) The next two actually had something to base it on, but if the intent was to 'let them play', LA wouldn't have had their first TD. In my world, officials are there to control the temper and tone of the Games. Short of flagrant fouls affecting outcomes, let them play. The tempo of our games are interrupted enough, as it stands. Once was, you could win by exhausting your opponent.
40fkn9ers.
I’m good with FTN. But FTR always has a special spot.
Very Good Video and easily makes it understandable why they wanted him. Go Hawks!
The Highly talked about Vikings D looked awful last night- Way too much zone and it lead to two TD's and poor coverage!
If the Vikings play D like that against the Hawks, Geno and WR's should have a very good day. When the Hawks play the Vikes-
On the surface this looks great! I like how we now seem to have a continual improvement mindset