Seahawks 53-man roster projection: How many open competitions?

A first crack at what to anticipate when we get closer to final cuts: 5/13/2023

With rookie minicamp underway this weekend, the Seattle Seahawks are getting to know their new players and potentially a large number of rookies who will make the final 53-man roster in September. Even a conservative estimate could include nine rookies (17% of the roster), but the Seahawks are probably going to keep more undrafted free agents than they did in 2022—check out the 25 UDFA signings right here—and I have three of them making the final 53 in my first roster projection of the year.

Accurate and 100% correct? Absolutely not.

The reason to run a projection like today’s is not to accurately predict and foretell what will happen (I can practically guarantee that at least one or two names aren’t on the roster right now), but because I like to be able to wrap my head around what the Seahawks have to work with today, which parts of the roster are certainly lacking and entering open competitions, and which units are virtually set and good-to-go.

We’re visual learners, so now that the Seahawks have gone through free agency, the draft, and undrafted free agency, with 89 or 90 players signed to the roster today, Seattle’s fans can begin to gauge the state of the team and what we might be able to expect once training camp gets here in a couple of months.

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53-man Roster Projection

I’ll start with all the players who I think are basically “locked” onto the roster, the depth charts, then move onto the remaining players on the roster and their odds of getting into the final-53. Then explain my reasoning to how I got to this final-53 and I welcome all of you to challenge my reasoning and come up with your own.