First round draft pick: Least to most-likely
How will the Seahawks use pick 18?
First of all, I love when we support great content about the Seattle Seahawks, so everyone should be subscribed to the Legion of 12s channel and watch/like this video about Cooper Kupp. His explanations and film breakdowns are the best in this corner of the NFL and this should have way more than 800 views:
Over two months ago, I posted the first in a “series” called Draft Rules that would explain how to be project Seattle’s first pick, but we can’t really call it a series if there is only one. This post is going to fit into that series.
Before we can address specific prospects, it’s helpful to know which positions in this class are most and least likely to be picked by the Seahawks at pick 18:
What is consistent in Seahawks draft history?
Which positions does Seattle need? (Although we don’t overrate “need”)
Which positions are most valuable in the top-20?
Which positions are expected to go earlier, specific to the 2025 class, and which positions have enough depth to wait until day two?
Tenets like these four will help us narrowdown a likelihood of the Seahawks first pick. John Schneider could always choose to do something very unexpected based on how the board falls, nobody can say with certainty what Seattle definitely will or won’t do, but Seaside Joe is always going to live in likelihoods when it comes to predicting future outcomes.
For example, we at SSJ found it likely that the Seahawks would trade DK Metcalf in 2025, and it worked out that way.
But I also found it likely that the Seahawks would try to work Kirk Cousins and Garrett Bradbury onto the roster to reunite with Klint Kubiak in 2025, neither scenario of which came close to fruition as far as we know.
As long as we’re focused on what appears to be the most logical move and don’t allow ourselves to be influenced by rumors on Twitter or what we would personally like the Seahawks to do (they don’t care what we want and never will), we will usually find ourselves closer to accurate than the average fan.
A lot of fans want the Seahawks to draft a guard in the first round — which has been true of almost every draft season for the last eight years or so — but will Schneider acquiesce to those demands after not signing a single starting guard in free agency?
I will group these positions into three categories for Seattle’s pick 18:
Least Likely Positions
Somewhat Likely Positions
Most Likely Positions
This is only if the Seahawks pick 18th or higher. This does not count the same if the Seahawks trade down to 30 or 35, at which point the formula changes significantly.