“Instead, I think the value lies in the number of names out of 32 that eventually do become first rounders, giving us a rough idea of who is going to get picked on day one and be available on day two.”
Exactly. If you are like me and don’t follow college football, the mocks are a pretty good gauge of who might be available when the Hawks pick. This gives me a filter for who to read up on.
Basically, offensive lineman tend to get better with age peaking around age 30. Just from a rough standpoint of the Seahawks ... could that be an issue bigger than drafting? That JS and the Hawks don't tend to stay with their draft picks into their first non-rookie contract? Like Pocic?
Also, does this mean they should be looking at Free Agents that have completed their rookie contracts that may now be ready to keep getting better?
I would say, yes. I know Luke Joeckel didn't work out in spectacular fashion, but Mecki Becton did. I don't have the list of FA in front of me, but I would put an emphasis on Offensive Lineman not being resigned after their rookie contracts on bad teams in bad organizations. This could be a tackle moving inside or a guard.
I don't think we will or need to get Trey Smith. I think we need to keep an open mind for potential talent on bad teams. We need to stay with Haynes, Jerrell, and Laumea (which the org has been very strong on this).
I have been posting this multiple times especially when people say JS sucks at drafting OLine. They don’t. They just don’t pay them exorbitantly. Posted multiple times now that many experts, and JS just stated the “dearth” of OLine coming out of college. Between CBA rules and college ball, guys need to be taught to play OLine. Except elite studs, OLine is hardest group to do well.
“Instead, I think the value lies in the number of names out of 32 that eventually do become first rounders, giving us a rough idea of who is going to get picked on day one and be available on day two.”
Exactly. If you are like me and don’t follow college football, the mocks are a pretty good gauge of who might be available when the Hawks pick. This gives me a filter for who to read up on.
Thought this was some interesting information this week from Brian Burke of ESPN on aging and O-line play (pass block win rate).
Tackles: https://x.com/bburkeESPN/status/1892241855384891409
Interior: https://x.com/bburkeESPN/status/1892341353645830221
Basically, offensive lineman tend to get better with age peaking around age 30. Just from a rough standpoint of the Seahawks ... could that be an issue bigger than drafting? That JS and the Hawks don't tend to stay with their draft picks into their first non-rookie contract? Like Pocic?
Also, does this mean they should be looking at Free Agents that have completed their rookie contracts that may now be ready to keep getting better?
I would say, yes. I know Luke Joeckel didn't work out in spectacular fashion, but Mecki Becton did. I don't have the list of FA in front of me, but I would put an emphasis on Offensive Lineman not being resigned after their rookie contracts on bad teams in bad organizations. This could be a tackle moving inside or a guard.
I don't think we will or need to get Trey Smith. I think we need to keep an open mind for potential talent on bad teams. We need to stay with Haynes, Jerrell, and Laumea (which the org has been very strong on this).
I have been posting this multiple times especially when people say JS sucks at drafting OLine. They don’t. They just don’t pay them exorbitantly. Posted multiple times now that many experts, and JS just stated the “dearth” of OLine coming out of college. Between CBA rules and college ball, guys need to be taught to play OLine. Except elite studs, OLine is hardest group to do well.
Nice work, good to get some research and make a thoughtful proposal based on it. A little Moneyball applied to OL.
This is all to say ... I don't expect them to draft IOL in round 1 again.
I think they will likely be looking DT, Edge, CB, Tackle, WR ... And I would think CB may be the top choice all other things equal.
I think JS has been burned to many times drafting for need. Most recently Collier.
If he can’t find a guard or tackle I’d like to see him trade down and get an edge and a guard. We need a QB at some point too.