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Pat's avatar

The worry about Geno not being under contract and if we lose him next year. I think JS should explore the trade deadline with Geno. Use that as some leverage in getting a contract done. If push comes to shove, then Think about a trade of Geno to " insert needy team" for draft capital and/or young star player. Pittsburgh and Watt for example? Let's consider if Geno is a product of the System...and Waldron is a genius... Lock might be putting up an equal performance. I know there is not a lot to support this idea, but who saw Geno breaking out... Could be a lot of scenario's that JS could be exploring in the next 2 weeks... at least fun to think about if not realistic...

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John DeLorie's avatar

Please remove the word "decimate" from your vocabulary.

You may be technically correct in today's amended world of making the world dumber so that idiots could follow, but it just lowers your cred to the educated reader.

Drop the word instead of trying to fit in with education-challenged millennials.

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Seaside Joe's avatar

Ummm. I am happy to learn more about anything, John. Thanks. I don't believe that there is a need to make a deep dive into what prompted word usage and I definitely will continue to use words as I see fit. Sometimes I even make up words. Thanks so much for reading, have a good one, JDL.

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Tabby72's avatar

Geno is playing better than expected but I believe part of the equation is improved Tackle play and improved play calling as well. Don't get me wrong though, last week he made throws I once believed him incapable of making. The throw on the move to the left was pure magic, it looked more like Mahomes or Allen than Geno. The 2 TD's to Lockett looked like vintage Russ dropping in balls where only a guy like NoE can catchit, and for TD's. I was once of the camp that Geno would simply game manage us to 5 or 6 wins against the weekest teams on our schedule. However, now I believe Geno can lead the offense to enough points any given week that if the defense (uh-hum) would put up any fight we have a chance at winning just about any game left this season and could be a borderline wildcard team.

I understand the whole "It's only 5 games bolstered by bad defenses" argument but honestly, this argument will continue to persist because the argument is based on sample size and those who point to it probably won't even believe in him after a Full Season. I think Geno has earned the right to compete with whomever they draft next year (and they still should get the guy they really want regardless of draft position) with a contract that recognizes that he deserves more than he has been paid but not so much we tie our hands again during FA. Hell, I think Geno is smart enough to figue out if he eats up the cap like a selfish greedy bastard then it only makes the team worse and breeds contempt from his teammates. I know it sounds crazy but I think we could easily get Geno to sign a new deal that pays him half of what the big names are getting so long as it is a multi year deal that fully guarantees the first year (to his benefit) and has 0 guarantee for the 3rd (my length estimation) year. Geno knows the drill in this league and he has found a home where the coach takes care of his guy. Right now Geno is that guy and until someone takes the job from him by proving the better option then I think Pete will let him be part of the competition.

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Seaside Joe's avatar

Geno Smith had a couple of nice throws and now that they get replayed over and over again, people are treading into "overrated" territory. I wish we could just enjoy Geno Smith for being an acceptable QB without having to turn him into a "great" QB. He hasn't been great. If the play of the last 5 weeks, all of it, not just the highlights, happened over a full season, I would be fully prepared to start a new QB era.

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Tabby72's avatar

One way or the other they have to start looking for the next young guy to take over. Although Geno doesn't have much mileage he is still an older guy and as the snaps add up so will his age. Can't reasonably expect more than a couple more years of good play out of him so looking to the future is the only real answer. Geno is literally "just doing his job" and as of now in a highly efficient matter. He still hasn't proved he can put the team on his back and will them to a win on his own but I am no longer opposed to letting him compete with a rookie next year and I am losing interest in seeing Lock play at any point this year.

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Parallax's avatar

Say what you will about John Schneider, I don't see him falling for BS. That's not great praise, as no competent GM would, but neither is it faint praise, as it's something that's happened frequently to other teams. Dave Caldwell overpaid Blake Bortles and Nick Foles. When ESPN published an article stating that there was no bidding war, that no other team saw Foles as a franchise guy, Caldwell said he didn't bargain with Foles because he wanted him to receive respect in the locker room.

Same kind of decision that led the Broncos to offer Russ a big contract before seeing play in an orange uniform. "We've paid a king's ransom to get this guy so now we have to lock him down." The 49ers did it with Garoppolo and the Rams with Goff. One could say Seattle overpaid Adams following a big trade that put them over a barrel and I'd not disagree. I don't know why Schneider agreed to the trade without first locking down the new guy at an acceptable price. But there was no reason to believe he would be repeatedly sidelined or rendered ineffective by injury. I see the Adams trade as part desperation and part bad luck. A big gamble gone wrong. I guess the same could be said for each of these moves. But then there's negligence, over-optimism and true stupidity. I've don't see Schneider as stupid or inept. Sometimes willing to roll the dice in a way that I wouldn't, but it's also what led to 2013.

Signing Geno to a big contract would not seem smart or the kind of high stakes gamble I'd expect of John and Pete. It's not at all clear that any kind of free agent market will emerge for the guy. Let's wait and see if teams are as impressed as the media and a fan base. My guess is Seattle tells him to test the market and give them a chance to match. Sort of like they did with Penny.

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Parallax's avatar

Can't tell you how much I appreciate this evaluation. You explained what I've been seeing with my eyes. My assessment is very similar to yours. I couldn't quantify it but as you said evaluation is as much art as science.

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Grant's avatar

I've only been able to watch one Seahawks games all year and it was against the 49ers. I've seen all the highlights, but that's a terrible way to judge a player's performance. My question to anyone and everyone who has watched the games (pretend like you don't know Geno's statistics) is, can Geno improvise and make plays and diagnose on field opportunities consistently? That throw to Lockett was soooooo good. But, getting sacked to basically end the game (again!) was soooooo bad. I'm not convinced that Geno can deliver against adversity and high-impact situations (something that the last guy used to be pretty good at). When you start talking about top 10 QBs, that has to be part of the equation. I've seen the defense win a game (or the Broncos beat themselves) and I've seen Penny win a game, but I haven't seen Geno win a game.

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Seaside Joe's avatar

I have so many ideas for articles that would quell the Geno hype for people, but am holding back for fear that it would look like I'm pushing an anti-Geno narrative. I'm not anti-Geno, but I'm starting to become anti-Genosuperfans.

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Grant's avatar

I appreciate this sentiment. You don't want to be labeled a hater, even if unjustly. For those that backed Geno from the beginning, you can feel good about being right. For those that doubted Geno could entertain us (myself included) we can feel good about being surprised. Let's all feel good together today. There is so much more Seahawks football to play before Geno's worth needs to be debated.

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Tabby72's avatar

I hated those sacks to end games as well but they were in desperation mode and even Russ would have been sacked for huge losses on those plays. He just gets swallowed up or has nowhere to go. What you have been missing by not watching the games is ability to get to the line quickly, diagnose the pre snap look, adjust the call and blocking (on the road no less), make sure everyone is on the same page, and then get the play off in time and execute well. The highlight throws he makes are great but what has impressed me most has been all his pre snap stuff. It's almost the complete reverse of what we saw with Russ.

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Doug's avatar

Well, at the end of the first half, with 20 seconds on the clock, the Seahawks regained possession and Geno got the TD. At the end of the game, he got sacked to end it. I think it is our rookie tackles who are still getting "NFL" fit to play a full 60 that is the problem, not Geno.

You often see players at the college level playing 3-sh quarters if they are in a good program and their side is up by 14+ and the subs come in. And the college season is certainly shorter. I am willing to give our rookie tackles some time to adjust to play a full game.

The series where the game vs the Saints was lost was the one following Woolen's INT, where the Seahawks ended up punting. A TD there would have made a huge difference. I think that was the series where both DK and Dissly dropped balls they should have had (but I may be mistaken).

Anyhoo, getting into halftime with a lead was a big deal and Geno did the job there.

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Ron Damman's avatar

Yes, we agree.

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Ron Damman's avatar

A QB's job is to win games. Stats not important. Elway had average stats but won games with average teammates. 5 super bowls. Geno has not won games he should win.

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Grant's avatar

Ha ha. I just simultaneously posted basically the same thought.

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zezinhom400's avatar

Here's my question on this hugely intriguing and unexpected situation:

If Geno finishes in the top 5 in most metrics as is today, is that enough to say he is the rare late bloomer (Kurt Warner?) or is he the next Nick Foles (looks unexpectedly great until he gets paid, and then oops). Can Seattle make that judgement in 17 games?

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Seaside Joe's avatar

I would caution against getting caught up in "top-5 stats" and these types of arguments. I could make you a really good argument for all 32 current starting quarterbacks in the NFL, based on stats. Some would be easier than others, but there are stats for everything now. Stats are just one of many ways we have for evaluating players, but more important, for evaluating good decisions. None of Geno's stats this season will probably tell you if the Seahawks could win 3-4 playoff games with him at QB--unless they had a GREAT defense. Is there a Seahawks fan out there who sees the Seahawks being 1-2 years away from a great defense? I just hate to even talk about it so much because 2 weeks ago, nobody was asking this question. And 2 weeks from now, we could be right back to where we were 2 weeks ago. If the Seahawks fall 4 or 5 games below .500, frankly I wouldn't see the point in not seeing what Drew Lock looks like.

Put it another way, if Geno Smith for whatever reason missed the rest of the year, but was perfectly healthy as a FA next season, do you see any of the 32 teams handing him a starting job? I don't.

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zezinhom400's avatar

Subject to sample size (which admittedly is premature):

Before the season started, you yourself as well as myself felt Geno could be a passable starter in a world where there are not more than 10-12 legitimate no-doubt NFL QB's. He's been far more than that, with or without the stats although I can also show why he's been "passable" as well. Meaning, if after 17 games he continues to play like this on the metrics that matter most: accuracy, yds per attempt, turnovers and big plays, he moves into that Top 20 range easily and while you could go for the brass ring in the draft, I think you could easily dedicate your draft to other positions and let a mid-level high-upside QB come to you.

As to Drew, quite frankly, is there any upside to seeing if he can out-Geno Geno on passes like that left-roll-out across-the-body dime to Fant (!), or those two absolutely perfect TD passes to Lockett, isn't that asking to see if Drew can out-do Wilson? I'd personally rather get a high-upside QB in round 3 (again) rather than waste Geno's rhythm on Drew Lock.

Again, assuming the next 12 games look on average like the first 5 (excellence mixed in with a few stinker quarters mixed in that keep Geno from being Top 10), you'd really bench him to see if Lock is better??

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Seaside Joe's avatar

"He's been far more than that" - I disagree with you, which is perfectly okay! I would hate to think that we all agree on everything.

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zezinhom400's avatar

Kkkkk ok now you’ve got me curious. I for one never expected to get what we’ve gotten from Geno. Did expect to get his kind of play such as in the 2nd half of Denver. But we’ve gotten far more than just that. Disagree?

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Seaside Joe's avatar

I write so many words on the Seahawks and Geno Smith, I just have to let my articles speak for themselves. I appreciate you! I just don't get into debates in the comments. But I'll keep your thoughts in mind for future articles.

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Parallax's avatar

Great question. He was compared to Jim Plunket by one of the announcers in the last game. That would be truly elite company. I don't expect it but would of course be thrilled.

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Dale Roberts's avatar

Until the Seahawks have assembled the talent to be a contender, Geno is more than capable of leading this team. Even then, we need to let Geno prove he can't be the man before we move on.

I read an article on the Husky defense which detailed the underwhelming defensive talent available to Washington coaches. You could have swapped Huskies for Hawks and been right on the money. We have a bunch of three stars and rookies and our one true impact player is out for the season. It ain't the scheme boys and girls!

Hendon Hooker is now my official third QB on the QB big board. Since transferring to Tennessee he has 41 touchdowns against 3 interceptions... in the SEC! Stroud has 68/9 and Young has 61/10 but given the talent around them they should score more. The only reason Hooker isn't higher is that Young and Stroud lead traditional powers with the incumbent pressures that translate to being a franchise QB.

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Cover12's avatar

Because this is a league where a salary cap exists as well as one where 53 contracts have to fit within that maximum, a QB's performance to cost ratio should be calculated. At Geno's $3.5M contract, his performing as the Greatest value QB in the NFL must be appreciated.

Sure, there are maybe even 2 dozen passers one might rather have on their team but as long as Geno is this cheap, his return is off the charts. As long as he can be retained at $8-10M max beyond this year, lets keep him.

Those who think Teddy Bridgewater's 3yr/$63M contract from Carolina is a worthy comp for an upcoming Geno Smith contract they need to be reminded that a 27-yr old journeyman mostly starter QB is worth at least 2x of a 32-yr old mostly back-up quarterback coming off a red-hot season.

Even if we keep him, an eventual replacement will need to be identified. Maybe Drew Lock is that guy or perhaps Grayson McCall/KJ Jefferson type of 3rd/4th-round pick to compete with Lock as the back-up/future starter.

Definitely NOT a big trade-up in the first round - that too closely resembles what perpetually Bad teams do. Plus, we need to field a better Defense, which will take a premium talent infusion as well. NO future QB is worth ignoring that need.

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Parallax's avatar

I agree with your analysis.

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Sea Hawk Run!'s avatar

If Geno is only the 20th best QB in the league, I wish our DTs, pass rushers, and LBs were the 20th best in the NFL.

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Dale Roberts's avatar

Nailed it.

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Seaside Joe's avatar

Haha. That would be great!

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Cavmax's avatar

Oh hell, I'm on board the train🤔 mostly because it's alot more fun to do so. Honestly, I don't have great expectations but my being supportive of Geno is just a better, fun way to enjoy the game. I very much enjoy reading about your perspective and mostly agree with it. The work, the research, your insight and perspective is greatly appreciated. Thanks!

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Seaside Joe's avatar

I sincerely hope that nobody believes that I'm not being supportive of Geno Smith.

And thank YOU!

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Chris Snape's avatar

I reread your story on what if Geno plays this well all year. Take out .the win loss record because of our defense. After the lions game I wrote Geno could be looking at a fat contract. What I meant by that is one that paid him about 5 times more. 2 years $30 million is very fair. We have a long way to go, but I did want to clarify FAT. $30 Million $12 garunteed because we have a stud in waiting is way more than Geno could ha e ever dreamed this time last year.

Once again I am cheering for Geno and his story, if we had any defense my expectations would be higher.

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David Lindquist's avatar

If he stays healthy he will continue to shine ,Geno is running this offence with confidence ,skill and some truly epic throws and decisions.....sign him and go defense in next years draft with the exception of Grayson McCall in the 3rd or maybe even 2nd ,thank you for introducing me to that kid ...Now stop talking about him .

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Seaside Joe's avatar

Grayson McCall flattery will get you everywhere.

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Chuck Turtleman's avatar

You had me until the last sentence.

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Chuck Turtleman's avatar

I am not of the belief that Geno is suddenly elite, or even particularly good. We had that stretch of 6 quarters without scoring when we faced the 2nd half Broncos and a full 49ers game. I must admit he's playing a heck of a lot better than I ever thought he would, though. I'll freely admit that I was beating the drum for Baker or Jimmy G, due to my armchair evaluation of Geno and Lock. But Geno's been more accurate than I thought, makes better reads than I expected, and is more composed than I anticipated. Hats off to his start. He is very efficient and takes check downs better than Russell. But above all, I'd like to see him lead successful comeback drives. I'd still swap him out for at least a dozen QBs in the league off of the top of my head.

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Luis Guilherme's avatar

I mentioned elsewhere that I already bought the ticket to Geno's hype train, but I didn't board it yet.

Even though "The Secret" is bullshit, believing is not only important, but necessary to thrive. If Geno has great days against our next 4 opponents, that may be the boost that he needs to succeed against the Buccaneers.

As of today, the QBs I'd rather have than Geno are Mahomes, Allen, Herbert, Burrow, and maybe Goldilocks.

Yes, Brady, and Rodgers, and Dak are better than Geno. He's probably — being optimistic — on a Kirk Cousins level. But today, he's playing better than these guys. And I think they turned a corner that Geno is yet to turn.

I don't know which Geno will we see tomorrow. The efficient and accurate ball distributor, dissecting defenses and operating at a high cerebral level, or the frustrating 3&out machine. Maybe both, as it happened against Denver and Atlanta (and NO, but the inneficiency was a shorter spell last time).

So I keep my ticket in my back pocket.

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Chris Snape's avatar

I am not interested in rating Geno. I am over the moon with the way he has performed so far. I am rooting for his comeback story to continue in the same fashion we have seen so far. If KW3 plays the way we all know he can this will continue. I really want to see him envolved in the pass game the way the Rams used Tod Gurley.

I don't think there is a true Seahawks fan who isint pleased by Geno's performance so far. Stay healthy and confident, Geno !

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