Seahawks Depth Chart: Draft Scenarios
Jalen Carter or Tyree Wilson? Will Anderson or Devon Witherspoon? Let's see how Seattle's defense looks given four scenarios: Seaside Joe 1502
The Seattle Seahawks hold picks #5, #20, #37, and #53 in the first two rounds. It’s quite a change from just two years ago, when the Seahawks only held picks #56, #137, and #208 and stayed right where they were for Dee Eskridge, Tre Brown, and Stone Forsythe.
Then last year, Seattle saw early returns on having four picks in the top-75 by selecting rookie starters Charles Cross, Ken Walker III, and Abe Lucas. The Seahawks then also grabbed Tariq Woolen in the fifth and four players who could see their contributions increase significantly in 2023: Boye Mafe, Coby Bryant, Tyreke Smith, and Dareke Young.
Pete Carroll knows that his offense could be tweaked and improved—get Geno Smith more protection and a third receiver and potentially a Texas-sized running back—but his defense needs help. Given that the top of the draft is again heavily leaning towards defensive talent over offensive linemen and weapons, projecting Seattle to choose at least one first round pick on defense sounds more than reasonable. Today, I’ll go through four potential scenarios with the Seahawks’ first four picks that are defense-heavy so we can start to imagine what the depth chart could look like by May.
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Seahawks go D-Heavy
DL - Dre’Mont Jones, Jarran Reed, Jalen Carter (Bryan Mone PUP)
LB - Bobby Wagner, Devin Bush (Jordyn Brooks PUP)
EDGE - Uchenna Nwosu, Darrell Taylor, Boye Mafe, Lukas Van Ness
CB - Tariq Woolen, Mike Jackson, Julian Love, Coby Bryant, Tre Brown
S - Quandre Diggs, Jammie Robinson (Jamal Adams PUP)
Here we are trying out a scenario in which the Seahawks use their first two picks on front-sevens, their third pick on an offensive player, and their fourth pick on Jammie Robinson, a safety out of Florida State who they’ve met with recently.
Robinson is 5’11, 191, but was given an extremely low “Athletic Score” from his combine testing. Sometimes that can work in a team’s favor, pushing a really good football player lower in the draft than he should go and Robinson is considered “a really good football player”. Maybe late second round is too high for him, maybe not. For the record, I’m putting Adams on PUP just to be cautious and his status is not clear yet.
Carter is an obvious choice because the defensive line only has two legit veterans signed for next season. It doesn’t mean that Carter has to be the pick by any means and Seattle could address defensive line with other picks, we can’t say for sure that he will even be available when they’re on the clock. But I do think when I look at other position groups, this is the one where you get a sense that the Seahawks could get immediately better because Carter is going to be great against the run and he should at least be disruptive as a pass rusher.
Van Ness is a size-traits based project (6’5, 272 lbs, 34” arms, huge hands, 21 years old) who is a bit polarizing because some say his “inconsistency” will never improve and others believe he could be a J.J. Watt-in-waiting. That’s the risk you take by drafting an edge/DE at #20 instead of #5—although it doesn’t seem like there’s a ton of confidence in the edge prospects projected in the top-10 either. Van Ness might not even get close to #20.
Seahawks go D-Heavy v2.0
DL - Dre’Mont Jones, Jarran Reed, Calijah Kancey (Bryan Mone PUP)
LB - Bobby Wagner, Devin Bush, Noah Sewell (Jordyn Brooks PUP)
EDGE - Uchenna Nwosu, Will Anderson, Darrell Taylor, Boye Mafe
CB - Tariq Woolen, Mike Jackson, Coby Bryant, Tre Brown
S - Quandre Diggs, Julian Love (Jamal Adams PUP)
I could see people preferring this route because Anderson has been rated highly throughout the draft process and some see Kancey as being worth a top-10 pick. It feels “flashier” than Carter and Van Ness because maybe there’s a perception that this would result in more sacks. That may turn out to be true. However, I could see this also doing more harm than good for Seattle’s already terrible run defense.
The Seahawks weren’t going to beat the 49ers last season if they “had just sacked Brock Purdy two more times”.
In Tuesday’s Mock Draft Redux, I wrote about the potentially falling stock of Anderson. I hope people feel empowered to disagree with Chris Simms (he ranked Anderson fifth at his position and calls Tyree Wilson a “no brainer”) without resorting to calling it “clickbait”. That’s not what clickbait is and I strongly believe that it is important to let people share dissenting and unpopular opinions without shutting them down.
This draft season has prospects that you’re allowed to criticize (Jalen Carter, Bryce Young, Will Levis) and ones that you’re not (C.J. Stroud, Will Anderson) but nobody is without their faults. Maybe Anderson is the Micah Parsons of the 2023 draft and Seattle will pick him and get very lucky that he was available. I think it’s good that we at least have something more to talk about with regards to Anderson because he was getting kind of so safe to the point of being boring. Maybe not so fast.
On Sewell, this exercise actually kind of opens up my eyes to not feeling rushed to have the Seahawks draft a linebacker until day three. Wagner and Bush may not be more than a one-year plan, but I’m okay with it if Seattle doesn’t address linebacker again until 2024.
Seahawks go D-Heavy v3.0
DL - Dre’Mont Jones, Jarran Reed, Mazi Smith (Bryan Mone PUP)
LB - Bobby Wagner, Devin Bush (Jordyn Brooks PUP)
EDGE - Uchenna Nwosu, Darrell Taylor, Boye Mafe, Nolan Smith
CB - Tariq Woolen, Mike Jackson, Devon Witherspoon, Coby Bryant, Tre Brown
S - Quandre Diggs, Julian Love (Jamal Adams PUP)
Give me at least one chance to see how the defense looks different if Seattle picks a cornerback with their top pick. Devon Witherspoon brings all the attitude and tenacity that the Seahawks were lacking in run defense last season and he might also be a top-8 cover corner from the slot as early as 2023 despite only scratching the surface of his potential. Receivers are getting smaller by the year and we’re seeing more top-end players in the slot, so “size minimums” and position preferences for cornerbacks should change just the same.
Something that I forgot to mention with Witherspoon is that his biggest negative is that he’s handsy and “too grabby” and he may have an even harder time getting away with that at the NFL level than in college. I’m not saying that’s a positive for Pete Carroll, but we did see that the 2013 Seahawks secondary with Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner was always criticized for being “too grabby” and they did more than okay. Pete knows how to coach “grabby” cornerbacks and receivers HATE being messed with at the top of their routes. A first quarter flag could be worth getting into a receiver’s mind.
When you draft a player with the fifth overall pick, you’re giving that person a job and $34 million guaranteed. Pete and John strike me as the regime that wants to give that opportunity to a football player who they have a lot of confidence in, not someone who they may regret and that might rule out Jalen Carter. It might rule out Anthony Richardson and Will Levis. It might rule out Christian Gonzalez, who has been criticized for not finishing plays and making “business decisions”.
Will Anderson, Bijan Robinson, Devon Witherspoon, Bryce Young. These strike me as the “no regrets” type of prospects where even if they did have a limited value, Pete’s going to love talking to them about football.
Put Nolan Smith on that list too and in this scenario, the Seahawks backup their Witherspoon pick by selecting two front-seven players with their next two choices. Nolan Smith is one of those guys who is going to be a team captain by year three, Mazi Smith is a former winner of “top-ranked player on Bruce Feldman’s freaks” list.
Obviously, this group might end up looking better than the first two but keep in mind that here I used #5, #20, and #37 on defensive prospects, while in the others I used #37 on an offensive player. Naturally, that will make the optics of this group look a little better without showing you that yeah, this means that Seattle passed on offensive linemen and receivers until late second round.
Seahawks go D-Heavy v4.0
DL - Dre’Mont Jones, Jarran Reed, Tyree Wilson (Bryan Mone PUP)
LB - Bobby Wagner, Devin Bush (Jordyn Brooks PUP)
EDGE - Uchenna Nwosu, Darrell Taylor, Boye Mafe, Derick Hall
CB - Tariq Woolen, Mike Jackson, Julian Love, Coby Bryant, Tre Brown
S - Quandre Diggs, Brian Branch (Jamal Adams PUP)
There could be a situation where Tyree Wilson just gives Pete Carroll a huge, disruptive defensive line next season and don’t even worry about getting sacks yet. Hall is leaner (6’3, 254) and also has long arms (34.5”) with the speed and athleticism to get to the QB off of the edge; here I am projecting him as available at #53.
Branch is a really good football player who has the versatility that Pete loves and I’m sure he’d be happy to have him. I just don’t think that Seattle will feel any pressure to take the top safety in the class when they’re going to probably see a lot of great value picks at the position on day three. I do think that the Seahawks will pick a safety somewhere between #53 and the fifth round. This just gives us another look.
Everyone keeps asking about receiver Charlie Jones: Who is he and should the Seahawks draft him?
Closing the Gap on the Niner's - this year.
Typically, draft picks do not produce much until their second year. Our Seahawks will get a Lot out of one year of seasoning and a second training camp for their already proven picks from last year as well as the opportunity to see how much growth we can get out of those who have yet to show their stuff.
As fun as it is to imagine how much the home team can get out of its new picks for 2023, lets play with last year's draft for a spell:
1) Charles Cross - will he get better? Absolutely. How much? Perhaps he is on the road to dominate. I expect him to be consistently reliable with further developing upside.
2a) Boye Mafe - improvement from a rotational player in 2022? Yes. In year two, his game will move up. Still a rotational pass rusher with genuine edge-setting skills against the run. Watch out for his year-three growth.
2b) Kenneth Walker III - unleashed lightning? Unless the dude gets hurt, I expect 1800 yards from scrimmage. This one is legit. Book'em Dan-O.
3) Abraham Lucas - is he topped out as a reliable RT? Heck no. Honest, Abe is on the road to a long/strong career w/ plenty of pancakes in his 2023 season. I expect him to serve up lots of them in his time with his hometown team. Great 3rd-rounder for sho.
4) Coby Bryant - here is a player who un-expectantly took over where veterans where not delivering. Highlighted by his tackling (causing 4 fumbles), his place in the passing game will indeed improve beyond being a nice surprise. Athletically, expecting more than a steady performer from his future is unlikely but even that is a wow for the 4th-round.
5a) Tariq Woolen - Hot dang! This dude was the Top draft value in the whole league last year. His passion for improvement in last season's training camp was legendary. Expecting the same passion seems like asking too much but really, does anyone think that his drive to improve will fade out? Doubtful. I expect him to be that much More legit in 2023 and beyond. He will Not be thrown at very often - a la Sherm's experience.
5b) Tyreke Smith - No show due to injury. He will have last year's familiarity with the setting, etc. to make his training camp this year to 'slow down' some. I suspect he will become a rotational pass rusher in his career. Something like a Quinton Jefferson.
6) Bo Melton - Gone.
7) Dereke Young - Here is our upcoming 'bag-o-tricks' guy. After his second training camp, it will not surprise many if he lands A- 4th WR, B- Blocking/receiving FB or C- the combination of A and B. With his Batman utility belt consisting of hands/size/passion for blocking/running ability, and speed, I expect by the end of this year and into his third season, we will be talking about him being a serious draft steal.
2023's draft will be worthy of all this scintillating discussion and yet, even if PC/JS pull off a dud, last years crop will provide the typical second year growth jump. That augmentation of known production is equally cool. Right?
I would like Anderson, Van Ness and Mazi Smith with someone like Bergeron/Avila/Mauch with our late R2 pick, please and thank you.
I'm more on board with Witherspoon than I would have been last week; I do think he can bring value covering guys like Deebo, CMC and Kupp out the slot as well as growing into an outside corner and even taking some reps at free safety thanks to his speed, play recognition and tackling. When you look at it through the prism of "which PERSON would you like to give a $34m contract to?", Witherspoon is definitely on that list.
On Simms' position on the Edges, I made an exception and actually watched the video and I came away deeply unimpressed. I'm 100% sure this is because I'm a massive Will Anderson fan. Nonetheless, the leeway and optimistic projections he gave prospects like Tyree Wilson and Will MacDonald should have been afforded to Anderson too. I found him too willing to overlook weaknesses that were evident on tape(measure) in favour of best-case-scenario upside. Rant over.
Thanks for the writeups, I found it a helpful exercise in terms of projecting depth charts and highlighting just how thin we are across the front 7.