So if Hendon Hooker in top-5 is a joke, what does that make every other mock draft ever?
Ah yes, we've never seen a mock draft that overrated a QB before! Seaside Joe 1488
Remember way back on Tuesday when ESPN’s Mike Tannenbaum mocked quarterback Hendon Hooker to the Seahawks at fifth overall and people asked if it was the worst mock draft ever?
(For the record, Tannenbaum doesn’t have the Colts trading up for Will Anderson and the Cards taking Will Levis, that was a typo by ESPN’s social team apparently.)
We know the reaction that football fans—and especially Seahawks fans—had when seeing that Tannenbaum has Seattle taking Hooker with their first pick when everyone else has been saying that he’d still be available with their second pick…if not their third or their fourth. And I’d have to agree, it’s so stupid. Imagine how STUPID a person would have to be to make a mock draft that had a quarterback going in the top-10 when he’s not even a first rounder!
I mean, you’d have to be EXCEPTIONALLY stupid to do something like that! You’d have to be dumber than dirt in a ditch on Dumbday afternoon.
Nobody else would EVER do that. Nobody. Ever. Never. It simply doesn’t happen. Who, and I mean who, in this world of DRAFT EXPERTS and INFALLIBLE FOOTBALL FANS could ever do something so stupid as to create a mock draft that might have a QB going much, much earlier than the reality?
(Reminder: Malik Willis went 86th overall, Matt Corral went 94th overall, Desmond Ridder went 74th overall, and Sam Howell went 144th overall.)
2022 NFL Mock Drafts
3/8/2022: NFL.com’s LZ has Malik Willis to Seahawks at 9
3/9/2022: FOX Sports’ Jason McIntyre has Willis to Seahawks
3/25/2022: NFL’s Chad Reuter has Willis to Lions at 3, Matt Corral at 6, Desmond Ridder at 12
3/30/2022: Tannenbaum has Willis to Steelers at 20, Corral to Lions at 32
2/21/2022: PFF’s Austin Gayle has Sam Howell to Seahawks at 11, Willis to Saints at 18
3/28/2022: CBS Sports’ Ryan Wilson has Willis to Panthers at 6, Kenny Pickett to Falcons at 8
3/11/2022: CBS Sports’ Tom Fornelli has Seahawks trading up for Willis at 7 because they know he won’t be available at 9
3/7/2022: PFN’s Ian Cummings has Willis to Lions at 2, Corral to Seahawks at 9
3/30/2022: USA Today’s Nate Davis has Steelers trading up to 7 for Willis, Corral to Saints at 18
3/22/2022: Mel Kiper has Steelers taking Willis at 20, Corral to Lions at 32
3/9/2022: Todd McShay has Steelers taking Willis at 20, Falcons taking Corral at 29
3/8/2022: The Athletic’s Dane Brugler has Willis at 18, Ridder at 32
3/21/2022: The Sporting News’s Vinnie Iyer has Willis at 9, Corral at 32
4/5/2022: NFL’s Charles Davis has Willis at 6, Corral at 32
4/25/2022: Peter King sneaks Corral in at 32 also
4/28/2022: Kiper’s final mock has Willis at 20; same for McShay
4/27/2022: Jeremiah’s final mock has Willis at 32
4/25/2022: LZ’s final mock has Steelers trading up to 17 for Willis
4/26/2022: Bucky Brooks has Willis to Steelers also
4/27/2022: Rob Staton’s final mock has Steelers picking Willis at 20
Anyways, back to Hendon Hooker—How DUMB was that for Tannenbaum to claim that a quarterback who might be getting some mid-first round attention could actually go in the top-10??? That’s like 10-15 slots earlier!!! What an idiot! Should he be allowed to walk this Earth???
When someone like Malik Willis “falls” 60-70 spots lower than the projection, it’s not because the writers and analysts got it wrong. No!!! How dare you say something like that! It’s because the stupid NFLs got it wrong. Those dumb NFLs never listen closely enough to the mock draft makers and that’s why they’ll always be dumb NFLs!
But maybe not as dumb as Tannendumb, right? He has Hooker going higher than Anthony Richardson even though Richardson has big body and move fast. And why he do? Because Hooker play good. That’s such stupid reason!
(By the way, in my Hendon Hooker article on Tuesday, e-mail got cut off at end because it went too long. Now I’m stupid one! You can click link to read the last little tiny bit if you didn’t and check out the comments. Now back to who else is stupid!)
Anyways, who could have foretold that Willis wasn’t a first round pick when all the mocks said the same thing? Who could have possibly seen that coming? Who could have possibly in this whole world compared the 2022 class to the 2013 class and pointed out that just as it was almost 10 years earlier, that it’s very common for mock drafts to seriously overrate mid-round talent at QB? It’s not as though Seaside Joe made that exact comparison one month before the 2022 NFL Draft.
Wait…you say…it IS as though???
Wait, this article say that in 2013 many prominent draft experts had names like Geno Smith, Ryan Nassib, Matt Barkley, Mike Glennon, and even Tyler Wilson going in the top-10 of their mocks that year? Could be or did AI go back and change every past mock to look like made by Mike Tannenbaum???
Ah, I know—2022 is outlier. One-in-million!
2019 NFL Mock Drafts
3/7/2019: Reuter has Drew Lock going 4th to Raiders
4/19/2012: NY Post has Giants trade up to 12 for Lock
4/24/2019: A roundup of Lock projections include Charles Davis having him at 10, Josh Norris at 11, Mike Tanier at 7, R.J. White at 10, Albert Breer at 15, Michael Hiddlehurst at 10, Reuter now trading UP to 2 to get him, Mel Kiper and Todd McShay both having him at 13, Will Brinson at 10, Eric Edholm at 10, Jared Dubin at 10, Pete Prisco at 10, John Clayton at 15, and in another McShay mock in early April, Drew Lock also going 10th
Wait…could be that…Tannenbaum is not only stupid person do mock draft???
Is possible that if you make mock without doing popular narrative before draft, you get flogged by internet…but if you make popular mock pick before draft and everyone fail together we blame the league for get it wrong and pretend never happen???
Could be???????
Okay, now remove your blindfolds…it’s time to reveal that I’m actually not stupid…I’m smart.
I do not know where Hendon Hooker is going to get drafted. But clearly, nobody else does either so I’ll reserve judgment of that analysis—as well as what people keep repeating about Will Levis and Anthony Richardson—until after the results on April 27th. And as you can see yes, I will be keeping track of the receipts. In the meantime, J.T. O’Sullivan posted a new analysis of Hooker on Wednesday morning so if you are curious in the player instead of the mock drafters, I do recommend watching that this week.
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Mock drafts are an exercise in Futility- Fun maybe - interesting ,Yes. But the only point in all of it those is to pay attention year to year on those that actually do their homework. I actually liked the old days when I would but Multiple mags and read the actually scouting reports from pro and college scouts. Found it way more informative and usually way more accurate . Plus allot more enjoyable!
My father has a PhD in Forest meteorology. These days that would be climate science. But in the 70s and 80s it was meteorology, and because he had a PhD in meteorology the towns, people where I lived would ask him when there was a chance of snow - Lloyd is going to snow? He would always answer yes. At some point I ask him why do you always say it’s going to snow? Do you really think it’s going to snow he answered no I really don’t know whether it will snow or not. I study weather in hundred year increments I don’t predict tomorrow so I really don’t know. So I said OK why don’t you just tell him you don’t know. He said people don’t want to hear that they want to know whether there is going to be a snow storm or not. I next asked - so why do you tell them yes. And he said snowstorms a big event. People remember snow storms so if I told them there is going to be a snow storm people remember that I was right. But if it doesn’t snow, that is a non-event. Nobody’s gonna remember the day it didn’t snow, so they quickly forget that I was wrong and next year, they will ask me again. What I realize now is my father, and figured out how to mock quarterbacks years it before it became an Internet/ cable sports obsession. Just like a snow storm, drafting a quarterback in the first round is a big event for every fan of the team, and the mock draft industry capitalizes on the excitement and fear and loathing around it. If the prognosticators are right everyone remembers. If they are wrong it is a non-event and everyone moves on till next year. For Seahawks fans the Russel Wilson years were like if growing up in Florida were nobody thinks about whether it will snow. Well we have moved to Seattle now and we all care about a snowstorm hitting the city. So even though we don’t think it is likely to happen we all care and we all pay attention.