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Gabe Smith's avatar

I’d love a Mahomes or Allen, but only on their rookie deals. The idea of a franchise QB is great, but not if you’re paying said QB at market value.

In the last 12 SBs, only 3 of those 24 teams have been piloted by a QB with a top 5 cap hit. There’s a much higher rate of mediocre QBs winning than your highly-paid marquee guys.

Now, if you can get a franchise guy to take a below market deal for 20 years like Brady, then great. I would’ve been happy to keep Russ if his cap hit was $20M. At $45M? Hell no.

It seems to me that you basically have to get everything else right to build a complete team around a QB taking up that much of your cap space. It’s a bad bet. The numbers back that up.

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Luis Guilherme's avatar

A great team can be a contender with a decent QB, like the 49ers with Jimmy G or the Rams with Goff, or the Steelers with Old Big Ben. A bad team is not saved by a great QB, as the Stafford-era Lions or the 2017 Seahawks show us.

The Saints with post-LASIK Winston are scary. If he's healthy, they are my favorites to win the NFC,

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