AI is IMHO just a bunch of numbers that were inputted by humans and Being an ole fart wish it would go away- I've been saying for along time now I believe the Hawks will get to a 10-7 record. AI can kiss my arse!
As I understand it, the Seahawks have a 38.4% chance of winning the first two games (.648 * .593). However, should Seattle win game 1, the chances of winning the first two increase to 59.3%.
I put zero stock in any of these numbers. I suppose AI has become what we all used to call guessing. Last year’s numbers, especially the ones related to the Seahawks, are more likely to be confounders than predictive given the changes in coaches and personnel. These guys don’t know jack. You’d be better off using a Ouija board. And four fingers of Scotch. Six if you want real clarity.
I don't think any actual AI was used. I think people use the word "AI" because it's 2024. And even if AI was used, there's no obvious advantage to it, they are using the same computations that humans have been making about analytics for years. I'm not saying that AGI has no real world application or recent advancements or isn't a big part of the future, but 99% of the time you hear it now it's just a company that's trying to capitalize on the demand for "ai-fueled" products.
Exactly. I'm in the IT business and hear those two letters together all the time, and it drives me crazy. Most often the 'intelligence' is just the same programming that's always been there. It's a Marketing/Packaging play as you suggest.
The biggest problem with modeling a whole season before the season starts is that there is so much turnover in personnel, and year to year individual performance is highly variable due to injuries, increased experience, declining ability, not to mention scheme changes. That is what makes the NFL so much fun, actually.
The predictions are in my mind… fair… remember we have a new HC, OC, and DC.. and we have a tough schedule.. It will take some serious adjustment time between new coaches and new player evaluation and coaching to new offensive and defensive schemes… The REBUILD has begun😀😀
Even without an entire new coaching staff, this schedule feels pretty darn tough. The unfortunate thing about our 3rd place schedule is that we face a ton of teams (like ourselves) who seem to be on the rise. Bears, Packers, Jets, Lions, Dolphins, and Rams (x2) for sure. And then the Bills and 49ers (x2) which are three more games no rational fan could favor us in.
And it seems like we play EVERYONE after a by week-or at least a Thursday night game. Look at the previous week’s game for our opponents. I don’t know if a team has ever played more teams on so much rest.
I’m not complaining; line ‘em up. I have to admit that I will be happy with a .500ish season and missing the playoffs as long as I feel like the team is going the right direction as the season wears on.
Oh, and Last of Us wasn’t for me or Mrs. Turtleman. We gave it a season. I liked it at first but I’m too old and prickly to take such a show seriously. But the video game was really cool.
New year, same story. Seahawks get no love. Thanks to all of the websites who are actively constructing a boulder-sized chip on the shoulders of the Seahawks organization, players, and fans. I love that we are dealt the best trump card in the deck every year. No, not the ace of spades, it's the underdog card, a.k.a. us vs. the world. They will all be losers at "Eff-around and find out".
As a lifelong Seahawks fan, let me assure you that all of our games have a 10.0 watchability rating for me. No effs given to someone else's opinion about what is "watchable".
I don't have any feeling about the. 1st 8 games, this year with new coaching schemes, new teamates, new positions for players. They could go 8 -0 or 0-8.
But, I feel really good about all the changes that were made this Spring and at a minimum my hope for MM's 1st 5 years is for the team to play in 2 Conference championships and play in at least 1 Super Bowl.
The Last of Us is one of my favorite video games of all time. I also enjoyed the show, and will readily admit that Bella Ramsey was the highlight, but didn’t find Pedro to be bad.
When assessing Sumer Sports’ “analysis” the expression “garbage in, garbage out” comes to mind. Live sports are inherently unpredictable which is why we watch them and find them exciting. Trying to assign a numerical value to something as subjective as watchability seems dumb. We would all be better off paying zero attention to sites like this.
I had our first 2 games as excellent training for our new coaching on both sides of the ball. Then Coach Mack tossed in a practice game, so let's make it 3 now. Someone cited in Mack's rookie year as DC for the Ravens, it took them 7 games to begin to gel with what he envisioned. Now we have films to review, along with a more talented Seahawks crew. Given 3 games to overcome their mistakes and lack of coordination AND STILL win, our first truly threatening team will be Miami and we'll be showing our 12's at home how good we've become. The Biggie is Detroit in Detroit with all their passions set on this being Their Year. This time they have adjusted for their weakest links. This time they'll be going out to eat kneecaps after we embarrassed them at Home last year. Campbell will have them furiously focused. Win or lose, playing Frisco will be a light-duty game, comparatively. Their Blue Chip guys are aging after putting it all out there last year. The Giants may be our first look at Howell, as I suspect Geno will beat himself up badly forcing a Win against the Lions. Get him ready for Frisco. Detroit gives us the measure needed for a Super Bowl run. Everything goes through Detroit. My worst case is we lose a close game to them and win everything else. 4-1.
No way is opening day watchability under 2. I don't care if we were playing MT. Tahoma high. We have at that point been almost 8 months with no meaningful football. IMHO
however, while it's not necessarily meaningful football to Seahawks fans, we have been enjoying watching the UFL games, rooting for teams we liked, sad when the San Antonio Brahmas lost the championship game after winning their division
This is great stuff. The only bet I actually have so far is Geno to win MVP.
But, I am starting to consider fading the Rams. I really like what the Rams did this off season with the O-line. But, these numbers have gotten a bit out of hand. I think the Hawks were favored by 1 last year in LA. Had a 9 point lead and were pretty much dominating prior to their QB getting injured. Geno comes back in and marches the offense while injured right down the football field and into FG range. Kicker misses but the Hawks were the better team that game.
I will add that Stafford was my MVP last year. My hat is off to him and what I thought was just a great season with a bunch of young guys. However, there is only one way for him to go ... and that is worse. It is hard to get better than the best and especially hard when you are old with a ton of wear and tear. Add in the bluest of blue chips retiring (AD). And I think we have a recipe for the Rams to underwhelm this year.
For that reason, I will take the Hawks as underdogs at home and bigger underdogs on the road. You win 1 out of 2 and you are getting a nice ROI.
Of course, I don't think the Hawks will be underdogs to the Lambs at home in week 8. That would be crazy. They were just 5 point favorites at home last year. But, I would take them anywhere below being a 3-point favorite.
I'm all-in with you, Mike. To boot, the 12's are back louder than before and with them, our homefield advantage. Howell thought it was loud last year? Ha.
Maybe I'm just used to the Seahawks being mediocre, but it's hard for me to accept that they don't have a 40%+ chance to win or lose every game regardless of their opponent. 38.5% to both the Bears and Falcons is just silly, but I'm more insulted by the 22.4% to the niners, just because it's stupid low for a matchup between any two NFL teams.
I firmly, unconditionaly believe that the Hawks will probably win some games and probably lose some games with a tie game being highly improbable! And I stand by my statement 100%.
I choose to laugh at my projections. Or not. But then I took the Lions to get to the Super Bowl last year. Could have sold that bet, dammit. Olah. HaHa. Big Fun, all year.
AI is IMHO just a bunch of numbers that were inputted by humans and Being an ole fart wish it would go away- I've been saying for along time now I believe the Hawks will get to a 10-7 record. AI can kiss my arse!
As I understand it, the Seahawks have a 38.4% chance of winning the first two games (.648 * .593). However, should Seattle win game 1, the chances of winning the first two increase to 59.3%.
I put zero stock in any of these numbers. I suppose AI has become what we all used to call guessing. Last year’s numbers, especially the ones related to the Seahawks, are more likely to be confounders than predictive given the changes in coaches and personnel. These guys don’t know jack. You’d be better off using a Ouija board. And four fingers of Scotch. Six if you want real clarity.
I don't think any actual AI was used. I think people use the word "AI" because it's 2024. And even if AI was used, there's no obvious advantage to it, they are using the same computations that humans have been making about analytics for years. I'm not saying that AGI has no real world application or recent advancements or isn't a big part of the future, but 99% of the time you hear it now it's just a company that's trying to capitalize on the demand for "ai-fueled" products.
Exactly. I'm in the IT business and hear those two letters together all the time, and it drives me crazy. Most often the 'intelligence' is just the same programming that's always been there. It's a Marketing/Packaging play as you suggest.
The biggest problem with modeling a whole season before the season starts is that there is so much turnover in personnel, and year to year individual performance is highly variable due to injuries, increased experience, declining ability, not to mention scheme changes. That is what makes the NFL so much fun, actually.
The predictions are in my mind… fair… remember we have a new HC, OC, and DC.. and we have a tough schedule.. It will take some serious adjustment time between new coaches and new player evaluation and coaching to new offensive and defensive schemes… The REBUILD has begun😀😀
Even without an entire new coaching staff, this schedule feels pretty darn tough. The unfortunate thing about our 3rd place schedule is that we face a ton of teams (like ourselves) who seem to be on the rise. Bears, Packers, Jets, Lions, Dolphins, and Rams (x2) for sure. And then the Bills and 49ers (x2) which are three more games no rational fan could favor us in.
And it seems like we play EVERYONE after a by week-or at least a Thursday night game. Look at the previous week’s game for our opponents. I don’t know if a team has ever played more teams on so much rest.
I’m not complaining; line ‘em up. I have to admit that I will be happy with a .500ish season and missing the playoffs as long as I feel like the team is going the right direction as the season wears on.
Oh, and Last of Us wasn’t for me or Mrs. Turtleman. We gave it a season. I liked it at first but I’m too old and prickly to take such a show seriously. But the video game was really cool.
New year, same story. Seahawks get no love. Thanks to all of the websites who are actively constructing a boulder-sized chip on the shoulders of the Seahawks organization, players, and fans. I love that we are dealt the best trump card in the deck every year. No, not the ace of spades, it's the underdog card, a.k.a. us vs. the world. They will all be losers at "Eff-around and find out".
As a lifelong Seahawks fan, let me assure you that all of our games have a 10.0 watchability rating for me. No effs given to someone else's opinion about what is "watchable".
I don't have any feeling about the. 1st 8 games, this year with new coaching schemes, new teamates, new positions for players. They could go 8 -0 or 0-8.
But, I feel really good about all the changes that were made this Spring and at a minimum my hope for MM's 1st 5 years is for the team to play in 2 Conference championships and play in at least 1 Super Bowl.
The Last of Us is one of my favorite video games of all time. I also enjoyed the show, and will readily admit that Bella Ramsey was the highlight, but didn’t find Pedro to be bad.
When assessing Sumer Sports’ “analysis” the expression “garbage in, garbage out” comes to mind. Live sports are inherently unpredictable which is why we watch them and find them exciting. Trying to assign a numerical value to something as subjective as watchability seems dumb. We would all be better off paying zero attention to sites like this.
That’s not to say I dislike your article.
I had our first 2 games as excellent training for our new coaching on both sides of the ball. Then Coach Mack tossed in a practice game, so let's make it 3 now. Someone cited in Mack's rookie year as DC for the Ravens, it took them 7 games to begin to gel with what he envisioned. Now we have films to review, along with a more talented Seahawks crew. Given 3 games to overcome their mistakes and lack of coordination AND STILL win, our first truly threatening team will be Miami and we'll be showing our 12's at home how good we've become. The Biggie is Detroit in Detroit with all their passions set on this being Their Year. This time they have adjusted for their weakest links. This time they'll be going out to eat kneecaps after we embarrassed them at Home last year. Campbell will have them furiously focused. Win or lose, playing Frisco will be a light-duty game, comparatively. Their Blue Chip guys are aging after putting it all out there last year. The Giants may be our first look at Howell, as I suspect Geno will beat himself up badly forcing a Win against the Lions. Get him ready for Frisco. Detroit gives us the measure needed for a Super Bowl run. Everything goes through Detroit. My worst case is we lose a close game to them and win everything else. 4-1.
I would like to see a comparison after the Bronco game to see how Sumer Sports holds up. May the 12s be with you and Ho Seahawks!
Apparently, the team has moved to Aurora now?
No way is opening day watchability under 2. I don't care if we were playing MT. Tahoma high. We have at that point been almost 8 months with no meaningful football. IMHO
that made me bust out laughing
however, while it's not necessarily meaningful football to Seahawks fans, we have been enjoying watching the UFL games, rooting for teams we liked, sad when the San Antonio Brahmas lost the championship game after winning their division
This is great stuff. The only bet I actually have so far is Geno to win MVP.
But, I am starting to consider fading the Rams. I really like what the Rams did this off season with the O-line. But, these numbers have gotten a bit out of hand. I think the Hawks were favored by 1 last year in LA. Had a 9 point lead and were pretty much dominating prior to their QB getting injured. Geno comes back in and marches the offense while injured right down the football field and into FG range. Kicker misses but the Hawks were the better team that game.
I will add that Stafford was my MVP last year. My hat is off to him and what I thought was just a great season with a bunch of young guys. However, there is only one way for him to go ... and that is worse. It is hard to get better than the best and especially hard when you are old with a ton of wear and tear. Add in the bluest of blue chips retiring (AD). And I think we have a recipe for the Rams to underwhelm this year.
For that reason, I will take the Hawks as underdogs at home and bigger underdogs on the road. You win 1 out of 2 and you are getting a nice ROI.
Of course, I don't think the Hawks will be underdogs to the Lambs at home in week 8. That would be crazy. They were just 5 point favorites at home last year. But, I would take them anywhere below being a 3-point favorite.
Go Hawks
I'm all-in with you, Mike. To boot, the 12's are back louder than before and with them, our homefield advantage. Howell thought it was loud last year? Ha.
I agree … I think that is something the move on from Pete guys had a good point- need the juice back.
I am very hopeful about the crowd and energy. Don’t think it’ll ever be what it was but it could be better
Maybe I'm just used to the Seahawks being mediocre, but it's hard for me to accept that they don't have a 40%+ chance to win or lose every game regardless of their opponent. 38.5% to both the Bears and Falcons is just silly, but I'm more insulted by the 22.4% to the niners, just because it's stupid low for a matchup between any two NFL teams.
I firmly, unconditionaly believe that the Hawks will probably win some games and probably lose some games with a tie game being highly improbable! And I stand by my statement 100%.
So much to laugh about!
Anyone that claims ANY degree of accuracy on which teams will win which games before training camp is making this stuff up for giggles and grins.
At this point, here is what we don’t know:
- Which players will be injured before said games and to what severity.
- which free agents are panning out and which aren’t.
- Which teams are playing better than expected and which are worse.
- Which rookies are killing it and which are flailing.
- How quickly teams are adapting (or not) to new coaches/schemes.
- And a plethora of other factors.
But hey, it’s all entertainment and I got some good laughs at the projections.
I choose to laugh at my projections. Or not. But then I took the Lions to get to the Super Bowl last year. Could have sold that bet, dammit. Olah. HaHa. Big Fun, all year.