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Seaside Joe's avatar

AFC Championship: I'm honestly not trying to be a contrarian or "weird", I actually just think the Broncos are the better team. In fact, probably the biggest thing holding Denver back has been the passing game. So although I'm not endorsing Jarrett Stidham as a good quarterback (he's more of a N/A quarterback) I also don't expect the offense to look significantly worse.

I do expect the Broncos defense to put so much pressure on Drake Maye that he gets a little rattled (6 fumbles in the playoffs already) and I say that as a Drake Maye fan. I think Maye is going to be wearing Nik Bonitto like an overcoat all day.

Broncos 16, Patriots 15

NFC Championship: The Rams defense has played 150 snaps in two playoff games. They're traveling for the third time in three weeks. Seattle's defense had a week off and then played at most 50 snaps last week and they're at home. If the Seahawks can't take advantage of that difference in effort, what hope did they have?

Only 5 teams in NFL history have won 3 playoff road games. If the Rams win this game, hat's off to Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford. That's incredible. But I'd think Seattle wants to dominate time of possession in the first half, even if it costs them points, and maybe it's a very tight game at halftime, like 10-9 or 6-6. Then the Seahawks, if all goes to plan, are just too overwhelming by the fourth quarter with the difference in fresh legs on defense.

Seahawks 30, Rams 12

Sea Hawk Run!'s avatar

Have you ever watched stages of the Tour de France or other Grand Tours of bike racing? It seems like an individual sport, but it’s not. The best teams dominate. Yes, they get big sponsorships and pay the top racers big money, but the big names don’t win without great strategy. And the strategies are built on “domestiques”.

A domestique should almost never win a stage. He rides too hard early in the race in order to shield the team leader from the wind while positioning the team as needed against the opposition. It brings the leader to the front while saving his legs. One by one the domestiques fall off, sacrificing themselves for the team. At the end of the race the leader rides alone and competes for the win.

Charbonnet is the domestique of the running back room. Walker is the leader. The team has protected Walker’s legs all season long. He’s now in position to finish strong. He got an extra day of rest before his next battle. Win, and there’s an extra week to recover. Charbonnet completed his task.

The team still needs to give Walker a breather now and then. There will be obvious passing downs when we need pass protection. Holani can definitely spell Walker here and there, but Walker can still handle a bigger workload than he has been getting. For pass protection Holani can do well, but Ouzts might do even better.

If the oline can continue to give Walker clean reads, the run game can keep rolling. I have no doubt that the TEs and WRs will continue to block downfield. Walker is set up perfectly for this moment.

Let’s appreciate the role that Charbs played, as well as the wisdom of the coaching staff. Their strategy fits a 19+ game season.

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