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Danno's avatar
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I really don’t want to predict a player or position at 32. Last year, with the Hawks missing the playoffs, I was into the draft (and free agency) right after week 18. I watched tons of film, did dozens of mocks, built my own big board with the big boards of J Foster (incredible interactive big board with so much info on each player) and Brugler’s The beast when that finally came out. I didn’t do as well with my predicted players as I hoped, and I was plenty pleased with how well JS did.

So this year I’m relaxed, watching film, getting to know the players, coming up with players I like, but I’m not predicting anything. I will make some observations. Last year a player with a first round grade was available in the 2nd round at pick 35. The year before I liked Byron Murphy, but people were convinced he was a top ten pick and would be long gone at 16. Anything is possible for us at 32.

Prediction 1: The Seahawks will stay and pick at 32 for one of two reasons. There’s a player who falls to 32 who they feel is a 1st round player (hopefully at a position of need as well). They may also stay and pick at 32 even if there is no player with a 1st round grade if they can’t find a trade back partner. If they stay and pick at 32, let’s hope the reason is the first one.

Prediction 2: Chenna, Hall and D-Law could all be gone after this season. They will use one of their 1st three picks on an Edge, most likely one of their first two picks.

Prediction 3: One of their 1st three picks will be a CB. (This is far from great insight. But I’ll put it here anyway)

Prediction 4: If they do trade back from 32 and get a 4th round or perhaps another 3rd round pick depending on how far they trade back, I think they will use the extra pick on an IOL. I think they would be prepared to roll it back this year with Bradford, but there is nothing wrong adding a 3rd or 4th round pick to compete and push for the job.

Prediction 5: Christian Haynes gets traded for a late day three pick.

I’m still looking at the draft candidates for each pick, we have 26 days to go! Don’t fret the draft. JS has it under full control. Keep your eye on the 30 visits. There have been a couple of RBs come in that look like day three possibilities. Maybe that means an RB is not a sure thing in rounds 1,2 and 3.

Danny Garcia's avatar

I keep screwing with mock-draft engines online, creating various scenarios of ranked positional values and drafting for (perceived) need. Clearly it’s impossible to get inside JS’s head and he is VERY adept at keeping his cards close to his vest… So here’s my best shot at predicting the Hawk’s first round draft:

#32 - Best player available with emphasis on ED, DB, or plug-and-play IOL (either an experienced OG or an OT capable of transitioning to OG. Even though the OL really jelled by the end of last season, I’m still a bit anxious about RG).

ED - Keldric Faulk, Akheem Messidor; DB - Jermod McCoy, Avieon Terrell, Dillon Thieneman, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren; IOL - Vega Ioane, Monroe Freeling; essentially players that SHOULD have been drafted in the teens and twenties but slipped to the end of the round.

In the event that one of these (or another) freak athlete does NOT fall to 32, trade back to R2 for additional R3/4/5 capital. The overall draft does seem relatively deep for both ED and DB, so JS should still be able to get value at key positions on days two and three.

Thank you for attending my TED talk.

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